Showing posts with label Stock Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Market. Show all posts

Thursday, October 14, 2010

14th Oct - Sold off the remaining 50% of Golden Agri Shares. Found Weakness!


As expected, today's traded volume is much lower than yesterday massive volume as such
I watched the price bar closely.

As compared to yesterday's price range (high - low), today's price range is much narrow due to
the fact that there are still potential sellers where the demand is met by strong supply therefore
the price is locked within a tight trading range.

The weakness is confirmed when price closed at day low with high volume. If the Professionals
are interested in higher price, we should be expecting further upside today but this is not the case.

For now, I am expecting price to find support level near to yesterday's pivot level @$0.64 before
testing the near term price target of $0.72 level in weeks ahead.

Just be happy with what I harvested, move on to the next profitable catch using Diamond Scanner again.

Good Luck and Many Profitable Trades ahead!





Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Sample 10: Will price continue to trade higher from now?

Hi, if you have followed my sample charts from the beginning, you should not miss Sample 5 chart analysis on Golden Agriculture Resources on 29th September 2010 where I spotted three weeks of reduced selling pressure and commented that there is a possibility the price may rebounce soon.



Indeed two weeks later, 13th October 2010. Massive price movement today and this is no coincidence at all. By Mastering the art of intrepreting Demand and Supply in the Market, I am able to predict what the
SMART MONEY activities thereby taking advantage of the situation.

Interesting, I would usually exit all or partial during a massive bull run day. I did it again today by selling
50% of my  holding to secure a nice pot of profits on the table and leaving the rest of 50% soldiers to fight through the upper channel wall (known resistance level).

After the Market closed at 17:05, I re-evaluate the stock to make some assumptions for tomorrow's session.

How I know that the bull run will continue tomorrow or fade out completely by tomorrow?

The answer lies in the today's transacted price and volume.

From the chart, price has just closed near the upper channel line which is $0.655. Breaking out of
this channel by tomorrow will be bullish as the upper channel line can become the new support level
for the price to propel further northward.

What if price really pull back tomorrow, what will I do next?

In my Personal Trading System, I utilize the Pivot Point for cut loss or profit protect strategy..
Base on today's closing, the pivot point is $0.63667. Therefore my profit protect level will be
set as $0.635 for tomorrow session. If the stock is subjected to massive distribution by tomorrow,
I will be out of the game at $0.635, generating 6.5cents of profits on 50% holding.

Another scenerio could be today's volume is not sustainable, therefore I expect the tomorrow volume
to be significantly lower and inorder to know if price will continue to go northward, I hope to see a small
negative price bar closes within the body of today's bar. See sample below.

This sample shows that after a massive upside the previous day, everyone will be wondering if the price
will continue to head higher or subject to profit taking.

When price pulls back with much reduced volume, this will show that "Yes" there maybe some selling pressure but the pressure has reduced significantly because the closed price is not lower than the low of the massive upday. This is a bullish sign and may mean that the Professionals may want to move the stock price higher very soon and they are just taking a short break.
So this is my way again, let's see what happens tomorrow then?

Anyway, the stock price is now in the upper channel level denoted as Sell Zone (Above the dotted red line).
It's time for harvesting.

                         Being GREEDY in the market is the Sure way to lose BIG.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Sample 4: Don't be greedy. Know when to take profit is utmost important as buying.


Everyone knows how to buy shares as long as you have money in your bank. Sadly not many know when to take profit and eventually causing a winning trade turning into a lose trade. How do you feel? definitely as lousy as you can be, self sabotage is common in this challenging Market Place.

Most of us are ruled by the two worse enemies of mankind, "Greed" and "Fear".

We want more and more and hope that price will go higher and higher and hopefully there is no roof to where price can go and we can become overnight trading champion. HaHa, I am waiting since 2001 and
have not witnessed such a miracle then. When Greed overcrowds our mind, we become irrational to make
decisive action to even take a portion of the profits out from the Market and leave the remaining one-third to
test your guts feeling.

When a stock is too far away from your entry level, you just can't give it up and look for another opportunity.
You just have to own this stock no matter what you feel. This is a part of your self sabotaging ego at work.

Witnessing price been moving up steadily for the past five days, you decided that you are not going to miss out anymore, the pain to wait for a retracement is too long to bear, impatience sets in and you decided to take a position in it. Once you have joined the herd, you feel great and glad that now you are part of the game. For the next 1-2 days, price may continue to move higher with reducing volume each day.
Knowing this could be the tell-tale sign of potential weakness in the price, you continue to hold as you are blind by the FEAR of not getting into the trade and also the FEAR of losing opportunity to get in.

Just one bad news that hit the wire, Market starts a new phase of profit taking. Unaware that the Professionals are actually pulling funds out from the Market, you decide to hold on to the position as you believe that the Market should come back up soon and luck shouldn't be that bad. And two weeks have past, the stocks that you have bought are now down by 30%, you start to worry and wonder what has happened and still hoping that the Market will come back up in the near future. Keep on waiting and waiting.....and you will discover that the transacted volume each day is getting thinner over the months and then years.

The Professionals are nolonger interested to move this stock. You keep on waiting and and resulting in holding the lousy stocks for months and even years sometimes. Finally,  you give up the hope that Stock Market is not for you anymore. Worse still, when you decide to cut loss painfully, within the next few days, the Market starts to recover and back to the breakeven level for your portfolio. Oh....You start to hate yourself for being stupid this time and more frustrated then ever.

When you buy, the Market declines, when you sell, the Market recovers.

This is really bad feeling and omen. You blame on luck and your financial advisor who gave you the stock tip earlier. Ha Ha.. Vicious cycle one after another.

Sometime you may never recover your losses and the stock that you may have purchased is suspended from trading. This is enough for you to spread bad feelings about the Stock Market experiences to your friends or loved ones that never to touch the Stock Market.

This is not a made-up story, It is real scenerios around us and we know people who had been caught by the Stock Market plunge, fear has overcome them, deep intense pain has taken control over their body and mind.

Do not talk "Stock Market" to this group as you will get a Karate Chop from them. HAHA..

Financial Skills is a learnt skills, it can be taught and learned well if given time and effort to understand
the underlying cause and effect of the Stock Market Price Movement. Beside learning how to Buy a stock,
you should pick up the other important skills on how to Short Sell a stock if the Market turns bearish.

Like me, I am a Computer Engineer who is interested in software debugging, reverse engineering to discover how an application is written and coded. I am curious and like to get into the root cause of each task that I handle. Likewise for Trading, by understanding the natural effect of the Market Demand and Supply,

I am able to create a series of programming codes that pick up stocks that are going to move up from the bottom of the channel or falling off the roof of the channel. With tedious repeated testing on Scanner codes to make sure that only a few out of hundred stocks are picked up for analysis and possible trade the next day.

Nothing is difficult if you have the heart and soul to learn and excel. Life is short, live with passion!