Showing posts with label Four stages of a Stock cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Four stages of a Stock cycle. Show all posts

Saturday, September 22, 2012

How to know that the stock had ended it's Bear Market


Detailed explanation can be found in the facebook closed group "Swing Trading for Monthly Income".

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Another Example on How I use Stage Analysis to decide to buy or short sell?


By staging a stock into each cycle whether it is up, sideway or down. You can immediately know how to trade off this stock at the lowest risk.

But how? Simple, looking at the chart now, will you short a stock at Stage 2? Will you buy a stock at
Stage 4? So does that solve your problem by not getting you into the wrong stage of trading.

Let say that you bought a stock at Stage 2 and price is too far out from the moving average (black line),
don't worry, most mistakes made at Stage 2 will be forgiven. Why? price will pull back to the moving average to consolidate strength for the next higher upmove above the previous peak that you have entered.
As long as price continues to track along Stage 2 trend channel, don't worry pal.

If for me to trade any stock, it will be very near to the channel base with progressive volume coming
in to support the price trend. Buy when the stock is quietly moving up the channel. If it appears in the
Top Volume of the day, risk maybe getting high and I may not take a trade.


A sample of my classic Entry and Exit as shown in the chart below:

Notice: How the Propiertary Blue Diamond appeared along the base channel to trigger "Long
order" for me?

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Combining Stage Analysis, SGtrader's Channel Trading & Expert Indicators - High Probability of Success.


     Stock Market goes through four stages of cycle, stage 1 - 4 with each stage plays an important part to
     the type of trading strategy to use and take advantage of the stage. This teaching is made popular by 
     the   author of " Secrets for Profiting from Bull and Bear" by Stan Weinsteins.
    
     When I first came across this book, it was doubtful with the title which began with "Secrets". Many
     authors like to use this strong word to attact readers to pickup their books and hopefully buy them. 
    Nevertheless, I picked up the book, scanned the front and back cover for more information and then
    the contents. As I read the book, I immediately knew that this could be the book that could assist me to
    break down the stock movement into stages and if I could use the right strategy for each stage, I should
    be ok.
    So I bought the book and treated it like a bible, I read and read each time when I had time until I
    understood the author's intention.

    I started to employ stage analysis to the charts in 2003 and was able to detect each stage as the
    Market unfolded. This is really an amazing skills to have. By staging the stock correctly, I am able to
    identify the accummulation, advancing, distribution and declining stages without any difficulty. The
    best of all, stage analysis prevents me to Sell Short a stock in Stage 2 Advancing Phase or Go Long
    in Stage 4 Declining Phase. This knowledge has kept me out of trouble by knowing which stage to
     apply the correct  trading strategy.

    Beside apply my own propiertary indicators and trend channel to a stock chart, I make use of stage    
    analysis as a qualifying criteria to pick up which stock to trade out of the hundreds. If I am planning for
    a "long trade", only stage 2 will be considered, if I am planning for "short sell", only stage 4 will be
    considered.

    With this method, I have less chance to make mistake trading in the wrong direction and improve my
    odd of success.

     Below is a sample chart on how I stage a stock for trade consideration.








Friday, March 11, 2011

Combining Stage Analysis and Diamond Trading System Can Keep Out of Trouble


Combining Stage Analysis on any chart with Propietary Diamond Trading System provide a
clear and clean understanding on how the Professionals activities are revealed to the masses
and how we can follow the footprints of the Smart Money and possibly trade alongside with
them. No matter how bullish or bearish, always guard your cutloss level.

Knowing the FOUR stages of stock cycle, can keep you out of trouble.



By identifying which stage is the stock now will keep you out of trouble. Such as never go long in stage 4.
Buying only happens on stage 2.

By charting the stock into four cycles, I can easily identify the cycle for long trade or short sell.

Cheers