Sunday, March 20, 2011

How to Swing Trade Effectively?



Many of the traders are unable to trade well or make unnecessary mistakes during hunches. If I tell
you that I do not watch the stock price every second, you may not believe it. 

Staring at the real time price(bid & ask) each second can cause severe heart attack and lousy trades.

Imagine that you come across a stock in the top 20 volume and price is moving up. You decide to open
the real time time and sale to see each transaction done. Every uptick in price makes you excite and lure
in to the trade which you have not done any analysis before hand. So you bought it in the morning session and watched the screen until market close. You felt like a champion that you had picked a steal from the market and money should be attracted to you soon.

Wait, second half of the session opened and Futures markets were down. Suddenly the local bourne
started to take a turn and STI index went from +30 pts to -50, now you were caught as the stock that
 you bought earlier started to pull back to it's open price and now you lost 5cts a share. How could this happen?

How could the market being superb positive in the morning, now turning negative in the last trading session?
so what should I do now? should I sell away the stock or wait for another day and hopefully the price would go back the bought price so that I could even out and exit.

What a emotion roller coaster? from winning to losing within a day? Must be bad luck.

Above is a typical scenerio experiences by many including me as well.

Is there a better way to trade and not to worry about daily volatility and able to sleep well each night?

Yes for me, from the above diagram. "Buy zone" is the area where I will go long base on price and volume
action to confirm a trade. Once in the long trade, as long as price is not below the "sell zone", I would
keep the stock and let the stock to wiggle its way up the channel.

So when I will start to seriously look at the stock? when it is in the upper channel, "sell zone", where I may decide to take profit due to confirmed weakness base of price and volume analysis.Or price has traded
below the "buy zone" and I would cut loss and wait for the next opportunity to re-enter or go for other stock
that is exhibiting strength to move higher in the "buy zone".

To summarize, when a stock is in either  "Buy zone" or "Sell zone", will I be interested to check the chart to identify potential strength or weakness.

When stock is in the "Do Nothing Zone", basically I will let the price to meander along the channel and do not bother by its activity each day until the price comes to the extreme ends (buy or sell zone)

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

New Scanner Picks up Stock for Shorting!


A new scanner that is coded to scan for weakness two days earlier and get you to watch out for the next two days price action. When "lack of demand" or other expert indicators such as go short, supply coming in or
top reversal, this may be a golden opportunity to go short sell with high probability setup.

Below is the stock that is picked up by the scanner on 15/3/11 closing price.


Above is the weekly chart, looking where the new expert indicator appeared "Look for No Demand for Shorting", we need to wait for the next two weeks trading session to reveal possible weakness.
Indeed, after the expert indicator triggered a week earlier, subsequent week triggered "Lack of demand",
This week as long as price is closing below the 50% level of the previous bar "Lack of demand",
short sell is recommended.

Monday, March 14, 2011

Another Stock Picks up by Scanner for Short Sell

Potential Stock for Shorting - Pick Up by Short Sell Scanner


    Scanner picked up City Developments for shorting on 14/03/11.



   If support at $10.80 is unable to hold price, expect further downside to retest the previous
   base @$10.50

Friday, March 11, 2011

Combining Stage Analysis and Diamond Trading System Can Keep Out of Trouble


Combining Stage Analysis on any chart with Propietary Diamond Trading System provide a
clear and clean understanding on how the Professionals activities are revealed to the masses
and how we can follow the footprints of the Smart Money and possibly trade alongside with
them. No matter how bullish or bearish, always guard your cutloss level.

Knowing the FOUR stages of stock cycle, can keep you out of trouble.



By identifying which stage is the stock now will keep you out of trouble. Such as never go long in stage 4.
Buying only happens on stage 2.

By charting the stock into four cycles, I can easily identify the cycle for long trade or short sell.

Cheers

Monday, March 7, 2011

Another demonstration of the newly created Indicator that provides excellent shorting opportunity


Previous blog post, I demonstrated how the new indicator "Looking for no demand for shorting" from the below post, if you miss it, click here >> http://volume-price-spread-for-metastock.blogspot.com/2011/02/new-developed-indicator-that-inform-you.html

Above is another stock that triggered the expert indicator sometimes back, the black diamond is
specifically used for this alert. You will see this often in the future. As you can see, after the black
diamond triggered,I had to wait for potential weakness on the next few bars to warrant a short sell. Immediately after the black diamond, we could see that the next alert was "Lack of Demand" and this confirmed the  weakness. But shorting should be done only the next bar if it closed was below the
pivot level of the "Lack of Demand" bar. Indeed, as shown above, the next bar closed much lower
than the"Lack of Demand" bar and warrant a short sell. This is no coincidence, with a trading system
that  alerts me on possible future event to look for, make trading fun and interesting to be.